What Even Are the Battleground States Now?

Clinton won Colorado by less than five points in 2016, yet the 2020 race isn’t shaping up to be nearly that close. (Photo by Kait Herzog on Unsplash)

Leaning Democratic

  • Nevada (+8.7 for Biden | -0.9 relative to nation* | 2016 margin: 1.5% [Democratic win])
  • New Hampshire (+8.4 | -1.2 | 0.4% [D])
  • Wisconsin (+8.1 | -1.5 | 0.8% [R])
  • Pennsylvania (+8.0 | -1.6 | 0.7% [R])
  • Florida (+7.3 | -2.3 | 1.2% [R])
  • Arizona (+4.8 | -4.8 | 3.5% [R])
  • North Carolina (+2.9 | -6.7 | 3.7% [R])
  • Ohio (+2.7 | -6.9 | 8.1 [R])
  • Georgia (+1.7 | -7.9 | 5.1% [R])
  • Iowa (+0.1 | -9.5 | 9.4% [R])

Leaning Republican

  • Texas (+0.2 for Trump | -9.8 relative to nation | 2016 margin: 9.0% [R])
  • Missouri (+2.4 | 12.0 | 18.6% [R])
  • South Carolina (+7.3 | 16.9 | 14.3% [R])
  • Utah (+7.7 | 17.3 | 18.1% [R])
  • Kansas (+8.8 | 18.4 | 20.6% [R])

Undergraduate English Studies major at Ball State University. The Hoosier antithesis to Mike Pence. /// Contact: allenwarren100@gmail.com.

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